Levski Sofia — Radnik Surdulica 5:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

Club Friendlies

Season

2026

• The model expects 3.25 goals: 2.79 for Levski Sofia and 0.46 for Radnik Surdulica.
• Most likely score is 2–0 (15%), followed by 3–0 (14%).
• Corners: about 6.2 (4.2 — 2).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.96, 2nd — 1.29.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	100%	100%	84%	1.20
Over 2.5	50%	33%	63%	1.59
Over 3.5	50%	33%	41%	2.45
Over 4.5	25%	33%	23%	4.38

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Levski Sofia Radnik Surdulica

• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Winless in 5 matches100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 5.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored first in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Under 9.5 corners in 4 of 5 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Levski Sofiamatches: 4 · 3Radnik Surdulica

3.5Avg match total3.0

100%4/4Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/3

100%4/4Over 1.5100%3/3

0%0/4Under 1.50%0/3

50%2/4Over 2.533%1/3

50%2/4Under 2.567%2/3

50%2/4Over 3.533%1/3

50%2/4Under 3.567%2/3

25%1/4Over 4.533%1/3

75%3/4Under 4.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Levski SofiaRadnik Surdulica

75%3/4Scores first33%1/3

100%3/3…and wins0%0/1

0%0/3…and draws100%1/1

0%0/3…and loses0%0/1

0%0/3…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Levski Sofia opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Levski Sofia avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Radnik Surdulica opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Radnik Surdulica avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Levski Sofia				Radnik Surdulica
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
4	0	75%	1–15	33%	1	0
1	0	25%	16–30	67%	0	2
4	0	50%	31–45	67%	1	1
0	1	25%	46–60	33%	0	1
2	0	50%	61–75	33%	0	1
2	0	50%	76–90	67%	0	2
2	0	50%	37–HT	67%	1	1
2	0	50%	87–FT	33%	0	1

• • Levski Sofia scores most in 1–15: 4 of 13 goals (31%).
• • Levski Sofia concedes most in 46–60: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Levski Sofia scores 31% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Radnik Surdulica scores most in 1–15: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Radnik Surdulica concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 7 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Levski SofiaRadnik Surdulica

3.0Corners won, avg2.0

2.0Corners conceded, avg5.3

5.0Match corners, avg7.3

2.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Levski Sofiaper matchRadnik Surdulica

—xG for1.07

—xG against1.73

9.0Shots8.7

6.0Shots against15.0

4.0Shots on target3.3

1.0On target against5.0

36%Conversion8%

2.77Shots per goal12.9

16.0Fouls16.3

0.0Offsides1.0

• • Radnik Surdulica scores 0.4 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Radnik Surdulica concedes 0.6 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.