Almere City — PSV Eindhoven II 3:1: match report and statistics

• 0.91 Expected goals (xG) 1.93
• 36% Possession 64%
• 9 Total shots 20
• 5 Shots on target 6
• 2 Big Chances 1
• 3 Corners 7
• 75 (218/289)Assists(429/511) 84
• 1 Yellow cards 1
• 1.65 xG on target (xGOT) 1.25
• 3 Shots off target 8
• 1 Shots blocked 6
• 7 Shots from inside the penalty area 18
• 2 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Headed goals 0
• 21 Touches in opposition box 59
• 0 Accurate through passes 2
• 0 Offsides 2
• 6 Free kicks 12
• 42 (32/76)Long Balls(22/54) 41
• 64 (52/81)Passes in final third(116/156) 74
• 33 (3/9)Crosses(3/24) 13
• 0.61 Expected assists (xA) 1.82
• 18 Throw-ins 16
• 12 Fouls 6
• 63 (15/24)Tackles(16/26) 62
• 50 Duels won 63
• 30 Clearances 9
• 12 Steals 5
• 0 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 1
• 5 Saves 3
• 1.25 xGOT faced 1.65
• 0.25 Goals prevented -1.35
• 13 Goal kicks 9

Tournament

Higher League

Attendance

3,040

Referee

Shona Shukrula

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Heracles Almelo	13	10	2	1	39:14	+25	32	WDWWD
2	VVV-Venlo	13	9	1	3	36:21	+15	28	WWDWW
3	Almere City	13	8	1	4	27:13	+14	25	WLLWW
4	Roda JC Kerkrade	13	7	4	2	17:12	+5	25	WWWDL
5	Emmen	13	8	1	4	26:24	+2	25	LWWWD
6	NAC Breda	13	7	3	3	25:20	+5	24	WDWWD
7	Volendam	13	6	1	6	30:22	+8	19	LWDWL
8	Den Bosch	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18	WDWWD
9	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17:18	-1	18	DLWLD
10	AZ Alkmaar II	13	5	2	6	32:28	+4	17	LWDLW
11	MVV Maastricht	13	5	2	6	17:29	-12	17	LDLLL
12	Waalwijk	13	3	7	3	22:19	+3	16	LDDLD
13	PSV Eindhoven II	13	4	4	5	17:21	-4	16	LWLDL
14	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17:27	-10	15	WDLWD
15	Oss	13	4	1	8	19:22	-3	13	LDLWW
16	AFC Ajax II	13	3	4	6	19:30	-11	13	DDWLD
17	Helmond Sport	13	3	3	7	23:28	-5	12	WLLLD
18	Eindhoven	13	3	2	8	18:28	-10	11	LLLLD
19	Dordrecht	13	3	2	8	18:34	-16	11	LLWLD
20	Utrecht II	13	3	1	9	22:33	-11	10	WLLLL

• Promotion - Jupiler League
• Promotion - Higher League (Promotion)

• The model expects 5.5 goals: 3.5 for Almere City and 2 for PSV Eindhoven II.
• Most likely score is 3–1 (6%), followed by 3–2 (6%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.25, 2nd — 5.25.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	100%	1.00
Over 1.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 2.5	100%	50%	91%	1.10
Over 3.5	50%	50%	80%	1.25
Over 4.5	50%	50%	64%	1.56

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Almere City PSV Eindhoven II

• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Both teams scored in 5 of 6 matches83%
• First-half goal in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Almere Citymatches: 2 · 2PSV Eindhoven II

7.5Avg match total3.5

100%2/2Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/2

100%2/2Over 1.5100%2/2

0%0/2Under 1.50%0/2

100%2/2Over 2.550%1/2

0%0/2Under 2.550%1/2

50%1/2Over 3.550%1/2

50%1/2Under 3.550%1/2

50%1/2Over 4.550%1/2

50%1/2Under 4.550%1/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Almere CityPSV Eindhoven II

0%0/2Scores first50%1/2

—…and wins100%1/1

—…and draws0%0/1

—…and loses0%0/1

—…and then concedes0%0/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Almere City opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Almere City avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • PSV Eindhoven II opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • PSV Eindhoven II avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Almere City				PSV Eindhoven II
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
1	1	50%	16–30	100%	1	1
3	2	100%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	46–60	100%	1	1
0	0	0%	61–75	50%	1	0
6	2	50%	76–90	50%	0	2
3	1	100%	37–HT	0%	0	0
6	1	50%	87–FT	50%	0	1

• • Almere City scores most in 76–90: 6 of 10 goals (60%).
• • Almere City concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Almere City scores 60% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • PSV Eindhoven II scores most in 16–30: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • PSV Eindhoven II concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 4 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Almere CityPSV Eindhoven II

—Corners won, avg8.5

—Corners conceded, avg3.5

—Match corners, avg12.0

—Corners in 1st half, avg3.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Almere Cityper matchPSV Eindhoven II

—xG for1.52

—xG against1.77

—Shots15.5

—Shots against19.0

—Shots on target5.0

—On target against7.0

—Conversion10%

—Shots per goal10.3

—Fouls7.0

—Offsides3.0

• • PSV Eindhoven II scores 0.02 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • PSV Eindhoven II concedes 0.23 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 4.83 goals per match on average.