Vitesse — PSV Eindhoven II 3:1: match report and statistics

• 2.66 Expected goals (xG) 0.85
• 41% Possession 59%
• 25 Total shots 14
• 9 Shots on target 4
• 2 Big Chances 1
• 6 Corners 3
• 77 (256/331)Assists(440/498) 88
• 2.24 xG on target (xGOT) 0.96
• 10 Shots off target 7
• 6 Shots blocked 3
• 14 Shots from inside the penalty area 6
• 11 Shots from outside the penalty area 8
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 29 Touches in opposition box 17
• 0 Accurate through passes 2
• 1 Offsides 2
• 11 Free kicks 4
• 51 (34/67)Long Balls(24/43) 56
• 71 (94/132)Passes in final third(120/144) 83
• 23 (6/26)Crosses(1/9) 11
• 1.31 Expected assists (xA) 1.03
• 24 Throw-ins 26
• 4 Fouls 11
• 89 (16/18)Tackles(6/10) 60
• 55 Duels won 26
• 13 Clearances 31
• 3 Steals 7
• 0 Errors leading to shot 2
• 0 Errors leading to goal 1
• 3 Saves 6
• 0.96 xGOT faced 2.24
• -0.04 Goals prevented -0.76
• 7 Goal kicks 15

Tournament

Higher League

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

18,256

Referee

Clay Ruperti

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Heracles Almelo	14	11	2	1	44:15	+29	35	WWDWW
2	VVV-Venlo	14	9	2	3	37:22	+15	29	DWWDW
3	Almere City	14	9	1	4	30:14	+16	28	WWLLW
4	NAC Breda	14	7	4	3	25:20	+5	25	DWDWW
5	Roda JC Kerkrade	14	7	4	3	18:17	+1	25	LWWWD
6	Emmen	14	8	1	5	26:26	0	25	LLWWW
7	Volendam	14	7	1	6	33:24	+9	22	WLWDW
8	MVV Maastricht	14	6	2	6	19:29	-10	20	WLDLL
9	Den Bosch	14	5	4	5	24:22	+2	19	DWDWW
10	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17:18	-1	18	DLWLD
11	Waalwijk	14	3	8	3	23:20	+3	17	DLDDL
12	AZ Alkmaar II	14	5	2	7	33:31	+2	17	LLWDL
13	PSV Eindhoven II	14	4	5	5	18:22	-4	17	DLWLD
14	AFC Ajax II	14	4	4	6	22:30	-8	16	WDDWL
15	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17:27	-10	15	WDLWD
16	Oss	14	4	2	8	20:23	-3	14	DLDLW
17	Helmond Sport	14	3	3	8	25:31	-6	12	LWLLL
18	Dordrecht	14	3	3	8	18:34	-16	12	DLLWL
19	Utrecht II	14	3	2	9	23:34	-11	11	DWLLL
20	Eindhoven	14	3	2	9	18:31	-13	11	LLLLL

• Promotion - Jupiler League
• Promotion - Higher League (Promotion)

• The model expects 3.09 goals: 1.63 for Vitesse and 1.46 for PSV Eindhoven II.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 2–1 (9%).
• Corners: about 8.9 (5.2 — 3.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.29, 2nd — 1.8.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	100%	100%	81%	1.23
Over 2.5	67%	75%	60%	1.68
Over 3.5	0%	75%	37%	2.69
Over 4.5	0%	0%	20%	5.02

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Vitesse PSV Eindhoven II

• Scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Both teams scored in 8 of 9 matches89%
• First-half goal in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 10.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 7 of 9 matches78%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 9

Vitessematches: 3 · 4PSV Eindhoven II

2.67Avg match total3.5

100%3/3Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/4

100%3/3Over 1.5100%4/4

0%0/3Under 1.50%0/4

67%2/3Over 2.575%3/4

33%1/3Under 2.525%1/4

0%0/3Over 3.575%3/4

100%3/3Under 3.525%1/4

0%0/3Over 4.50%0/4

100%3/3Under 4.5100%4/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

VitessePSV Eindhoven II

67%2/3Scores first25%1/4

50%1/2…and wins0%0/1

50%1/2…and draws100%1/1

0%0/2…and loses0%0/1

100%2/2…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Vitesse opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Vitesse avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • PSV Eindhoven II opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • PSV Eindhoven II avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Vitesse				PSV Eindhoven II
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	75%	1	3
0	0	0%	16–30	75%	3	2
1	0	33%	31–45	0%	0	0
1	1	67%	46–60	50%	1	1
0	2	67%	61–75	0%	0	0
1	2	100%	76–90	50%	0	3
1	0	33%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	1	33%	87–FT	25%	0	1

• • Vitesse scores most in 31–45: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • Vitesse concedes most in 61–75: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • PSV Eindhoven II scores most in 16–30: 3 of 5 goals (60%).
• • PSV Eindhoven II concedes most in 1–15: 3 of 9 conceded.
• • PSV Eindhoven II scores 0% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

VitessePSV Eindhoven II

7.3Corners won, avg5.5

2.0Corners conceded, avg3.0

9.3Match corners, avg8.5

2.67Corners in 1st half, avg2.75

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Vitesseper matchPSV Eindhoven II

1.62xG for1.25

1.26xG against1.36

17.3Shots15.8

12.3Shots against13.5

3.7Shots on target5.3

5.3On target against6.8

6%Conversion8%

17.3Shots per goal12.6

11.0Fouls8.7

1.67Offsides1.33

• • Vitesse scores 0.62 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Vitesse concedes 0.41 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • PSV Eindhoven II scores 0 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • PSV Eindhoven II concedes 0.89 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 5 goals per match on average.