AZ Alkmaar II — Almere City 1:3: match report and statistics

• 0.74 Expected goals (xG) 2.12
• 66% Possession 34%
• 17 Total shots 14
• 8 Shots on target 7
• 0 Big Chances 3
• 10 Corners 4
• 86 (471/548)Assists(189/271) 70
• 0 Yellow cards 1
• 1.22 xG on target (xGOT) 2.9
• 3 Shots off target 6
• 6 Shots blocked 1
• 6 Shots from inside the penalty area 12
• 10 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 29 Touches in opposition box 20
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 0 Offsides 1
• 12 Free kicks 2
• 47 (30/64)Long Balls(29/75) 39
• 80 (158/198)Passes in final third(48/96) 50
• 23 (6/26)Crosses(4/19) 21
• 0.82 Expected assists (xA) 0.68
• 14 Throw-ins 14
• 2 Fouls 12
• 100 (10/10)Tackles(12/22) 55
• 36 Duels won 42
• 28 Clearances 36
• 11 Steals 10
• 1 Errors leading to shot 0
• 1 Errors leading to goal 0
• 5 Saves 7
• 2.9 xGOT faced 1.22
• 0.9 Goals prevented 0.22
• 9 Goal kicks 12

Tournament

Higher League

Season

2026/2027

Venue

AFAS (Alkmaar)

City

Alkmaar

Address

Stadionweg 1

Capacity

17,082

Opened

2006

Architect

Zwarts & Jansma Architecten

Map

Open map

Referee

Niels Boel

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Heracles Almelo	14	11	2	1	44:15	+29	35	WWDWW
2	VVV-Venlo	14	9	2	3	37:22	+15	29	DWWDW
3	Almere City	14	9	1	4	30:14	+16	28	WWLLW
4	NAC Breda	14	7	4	3	25:20	+5	25	DWDWW
5	Roda JC Kerkrade	14	7	4	3	18:17	+1	25	LWWWD
6	Emmen	14	8	1	5	26:26	0	25	LLWWW
7	Volendam	14	7	1	6	33:24	+9	22	WLWDW
8	MVV Maastricht	14	6	2	6	19:29	-10	20	WLDLL
9	Den Bosch	14	5	4	5	24:22	+2	19	DWDWW
10	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17:18	-1	18	DLWLD
11	Waalwijk	14	3	8	3	23:20	+3	17	DLDDL
12	AZ Alkmaar II	14	5	2	7	33:31	+2	17	LLWDL
13	PSV Eindhoven II	14	4	5	5	18:22	-4	17	DLWLD
14	AFC Ajax II	14	4	4	6	22:30	-8	16	WDDWL
15	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17:27	-10	15	WDLWD
16	Oss	14	4	2	8	20:23	-3	14	DLDLW
17	Helmond Sport	14	3	3	8	25:31	-6	12	LWLLL
18	Dordrecht	14	3	3	8	18:34	-16	12	DLLWL
19	Utrecht II	14	3	2	9	23:34	-11	11	DWLLL
20	Eindhoven	14	3	2	9	18:31	-13	11	LLLLL

• Promotion - Jupiler League
• Promotion - Higher League (Promotion)

• The model expects 3.59 goals: 1.65 for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.94 for Almere City.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (9%), followed by 1–2 (9%).
• Corners: about 10.9 (6.3 — 4.6).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 17 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.38, 2nd — 2.2.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	67%	100%	87%	1.15
Over 2.5	67%	80%	69%	1.44
Over 3.5	33%	50%	48%	2.08
Over 4.5	33%	20%	29%	3.44

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams AZ Alkmaar II Almere City

• Scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• First-half goal in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Both teams scored in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 8.5 corners in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 8.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

AZ Alkmaar IImatches: 6 · 10Almere City

3.7Avg match total3.5

100%6/6Over 0.5100%10/10

0%0/6Under 0.50%0/10

67%4/6Over 1.5100%10/10

33%2/6Under 1.50%0/10

67%4/6Over 2.580%8/10

33%2/6Under 2.520%2/10

33%2/6Over 3.550%5/10

67%4/6Under 3.550%5/10

33%2/6Over 4.520%2/10

67%4/6Under 4.580%8/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

AZ Alkmaar IIAlmere City

33%2/6Scores first70%7/10

100%2/2…and wins86%6/7

0%0/2…and draws0%0/7

0%0/2…and loses14%1/7

100%2/2…and then concedes57%4/7

First to concede…

Overall

• • AZ Alkmaar II opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • AZ Alkmaar II avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.
• • Almere City opened the scoring in 70% of matches.
• • Almere City avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

AZ Alkmaar II				Almere City
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	17%	1–15	30%	3	1
5	1	50%	16–30	50%	2	3
0	3	50%	31–45	20%	0	2
2	1	33%	46–60	40%	2	3
2	2	33%	61–75	60%	7	0
3	2	50%	76–90	80%	8	4
0	1	17%	37–HT	20%	0	2
1	1	17%	87–FT	20%	2	1

• • AZ Alkmaar II scores most in 16–30: 5 of 12 goals (42%).
• • AZ Alkmaar II concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 10 conceded.
• • AZ Alkmaar II scores 42% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Almere City scores most in 76–90: 8 of 22 goals (36%).
• • Almere City concedes most in 76–90: 4 of 13 conceded.
• • Almere City scores 68% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

AZ Alkmaar IIAlmere City

6.2Corners won, avg4.1

5.0Corners conceded, avg6.5

11.2Match corners, avg10.6

2.67Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

AZ Alkmaar IIper matchAlmere City

1.29xG for1.84

1.02xG against1.5

15.3Shots14.9

12.0Shots against17.4

6.0Shots on target5.9

4.5On target against4.3

13%Conversion15%

7.7Shots per goal6.8

11.7Fouls10.8

0.83Offsides1.63

• • AZ Alkmaar II scores 0.71 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • AZ Alkmaar II concedes 0.65 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Almere City scores 0.36 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Almere City concedes 0.2 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 4.33 goals per match on average.