Almere City — Helmond Sport 6:1: match report and statistics

• 3.09 Expected goals (xG) 0.92
• 62% Possession 38%
• 28 Total shots 10
• 8 Shots on target 2
• 4 Big Chances 0
• 9 Corners 4
• 84 (465/551)Assists(271/354) 77
• 1 Yellow cards 1
• 4.74 xG on target (xGOT) 0.24
• 9 Shots off target 6
• 11 Shots blocked 2
• 17 Shots from inside the penalty area 5
• 11 Shots from outside the penalty area 5
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 2 Headed goals 0
• 40 Touches in opposition box 7
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 4 Offsides 4
• 11 Free kicks 12
• 57 (24/42)Long Balls(14/53) 26
• 80 (181/227)Passes in final third(44/76) 58
• 18 (7/40)Crosses(3/10) 30
• 1.27 Expected assists (xA) 0.18
• 10 Throw-ins 12
• 12 Fouls 11
• 67 (14/21)Tackles(8/18) 44
• 46 Duels won 43
• 11 Clearances 53
• 6 Steals 4
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 1 Saves 2
• 0.24 xGOT faced 4.74
• -0.76 Goals prevented -1.26
• 7 Goal kicks 12

Tournament

Higher League

Season

2026/2027

Venue

Yanmar (Almere)

City

Almere

Address

Brugplein 11

Capacity

3,800

Opened

2005

Map

Open map

Referee

Joshua Kuipers

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Heracles Almelo	15	12	2	1	46:16	+30	38	WWWDW
2	Almere City	15	10	1	4	36:15	+21	31	WWWLL
3	VVV-Venlo	15	9	2	4	38:24	+14	29	LDWWD
4	NAC Breda	15	8	4	3	29:22	+7	28	WDWDW
5	Roda JC Kerkrade	15	8	4	3	21:18	+3	28	WLWWW
6	Emmen	15	8	1	6	28:30	-2	25	LLLWW
7	MVV Maastricht	15	7	2	6	21:30	-9	23	WWLDL
8	Volendam	15	7	1	7	34:27	+7	22	LWLWD
9	Waalwijk	15	4	8	3	27:20	+7	20	WDLDD
10	Den Bosch	15	5	4	6	24:26	-2	19	LDWDW
11	Vitesse	14	5	3	6	18:20	-2	18	LDLWL
12	AZ Alkmaar II	14	5	2	7	33:31	+2	17	LLWDL
13	PSV Eindhoven II	14	4	5	5	18:22	-4	17	DLWLD
14	Oss	15	5	2	8	22:24	-2	17	WDLDL
15	AFC Ajax II	14	4	4	6	22:30	-8	16	WDDWL
16	De Graafschap	14	4	3	7	18:29	-11	15	LWDLW
17	Eindhoven	15	4	2	9	20:32	-12	14	WLLLL
18	Helmond Sport	15	3	3	9	26:37	-11	12	LLWLL
19	Dordrecht	15	3	3	9	19:36	-17	12	LDLLW
20	Utrecht II	14	3	2	9	23:34	-11	11	DWLLL

• Promotion - Jupiler League
• Promotion - Higher League (Promotion)

• The model expects 3.42 goals: 2.25 for Almere City and 1.17 for Helmond Sport.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (10%), followed by 1–1 (9%).
• Corners: about 11.3 (5.7 — 5.6).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.75, 2nd — 1.67.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	50%	100%	85%	1.17
Over 2.5	50%	83%	66%	1.51
Over 3.5	33%	50%	44%	2.25
Over 4.5	17%	33%	26%	3.87

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Almere City Helmond Sport

• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Scored first in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 8.5 corners in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Almere Citymatches: 6 · 6Helmond Sport

2.5Avg match total4.3

100%6/6Over 0.5100%6/6

0%0/6Under 0.50%0/6

50%3/6Over 1.5100%6/6

50%3/6Under 1.50%0/6

50%3/6Over 2.583%5/6

50%3/6Under 2.517%1/6

33%2/6Over 3.550%3/6

67%4/6Under 3.550%3/6

17%1/6Over 4.533%2/6

83%5/6Under 4.567%4/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Almere CityHelmond Sport

83%5/6Scores first17%1/6

80%4/5…and wins0%0/1

0%0/5…and draws0%0/1

20%1/5…and loses100%1/1

40%2/5…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Almere City opened the scoring in 83% of matches.
• • Almere City avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Helmond Sport opened the scoring in 17% of matches.
• • Helmond Sport avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Almere City				Helmond Sport
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
3	1	50%	1–15	33%	0	3
1	0	17%	16–30	67%	3	4
1	0	17%	31–45	50%	3	2
2	1	33%	46–60	67%	2	3
1	3	50%	61–75	17%	0	1
2	0	33%	76–90	50%	1	4
1	0	17%	37–HT	33%	0	2
1	0	17%	87–FT	17%	1	1

• • Almere City scores most in 1–15: 3 of 10 goals (30%).
• • Almere City concedes most in 61–75: 3 of 5 conceded.
• • Almere City scores 30% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Helmond Sport scores most in 16–30: 3 of 9 goals (33%).
• • Helmond Sport concedes most in 16–30: 4 of 17 conceded.
• • Helmond Sport scores 11% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Almere CityHelmond Sport

5.2Corners won, avg4.5

6.7Corners conceded, avg6.2

11.8Match corners, avg10.7

3.3Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Almere Cityper matchHelmond Sport

1.84xG for1.13

1.64xG against1.8

14.7Shots12.2

16.7Shots against14.7

5.3Shots on target4.5

4.5On target against5.5

11%Conversion12%

8.8Shots per goal8.1

12.2Fouls14.0

2.0Offsides1.5

• • Almere City scores 0.17 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Almere City concedes 0.81 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Helmond Sport scores 0.37 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Helmond Sport concedes 1.03 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.17 goals per match on average.