Jarfalla — Dalkurd 2:4: match report and statistics

Tournament

Sweden. Division 2

Season

2024

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Arlanda	26	20	4	2	74:26	+48	64	WLWWW
2	Enkopings	26	16	5	5	66:34	+32	53	LWWLD
3	Viggbyholms IK	26	12	7	7	43:26	+17	43	WWLWD
4	Gute	26	12	5	9	51:35	+16	41	WWDLL
5	Jarfalla	26	12	2	12	39:39	0	38	LWWWW
6	Franke	26	10	6	10	46:43	+3	36	LWLDD
7	Falu BS	26	9	8	9	32:36	-4	35	WLLLD
8	FOK Farsta	26	9	8	9	41:46	-5	35	WLDLW
9	Kungsangens IF	26	10	3	13	31:43	-12	33	LWLWL
10	Osteraker United	26	9	4	13	32:47	-15	31	LLLWL
11	Skiljebo	26	7	7	12	36:47	-11	28	WLWLD
12	Sandvikens AIK	26	6	8	12	33:44	-11	26	WLLDD
13	Hudiksvalls	26	6	8	12	27:49	-22	26	LLWLD
14	Dalkurd	26	4	5	17	32:68	-36	17	LWWWD

• Promotion
• Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Group)
• Sweden. Division 2. Norra Svealand (Relegation (Play-off))
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.75 goals: 1.84 for Jarfalla and 1.92 for Dalkurd.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (8%), followed by 1–2 (8%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.09, 2nd — 2.67.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	100%	83%	89%	1.13
Over 2.5	100%	83%	72%	1.38
Over 3.5	0%	67%	52%	1.94
Over 4.5	0%	33%	32%	3.10

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (1), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Jarfalla Dalkurd

• Winless in 10 matches100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 3, away team — 10

Jarfallamatches: 1 · 6Dalkurd

3.0Avg match total4.5

100%1/1Over 0.5100%6/6

0%0/1Under 0.50%0/6

100%1/1Over 1.583%5/6

0%0/1Under 1.517%1/6

100%1/1Over 2.583%5/6

0%0/1Under 2.517%1/6

0%0/1Over 3.567%4/6

100%1/1Under 3.533%2/6

0%0/1Over 4.533%2/6

100%1/1Under 4.567%4/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

JarfallaDalkurd

0%0/1Scores first17%1/6

—…and wins0%0/1

—…and draws100%1/1

—…and loses0%0/1

—…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Jarfalla opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Jarfalla avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Dalkurd opened the scoring in 17% of matches.
• • Dalkurd avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Jarfalla				Dalkurd
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	17%	0	1
0	1	100%	16–30	50%	1	3
0	0	0%	31–45	17%	0	2
0	1	100%	46–60	67%	1	5
0	1	100%	61–75	67%	1	5
0	0	0%	76–90	83%	2	6
0	0	0%	37–HT	17%	0	2
0	0	0%	87–FT	50%	1	3

• • Jarfalla concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Dalkurd scores most in 76–90: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Dalkurd concedes most in 76–90: 6 of 22 conceded.
• • Dalkurd scores 60% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.