CSKA Sofia — Levski Sofia 1:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Bulgaria. First League

Season

2016/2017

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Ludogorets 1945	26	21	4	1	69:19	+50	67	WDWWD
2	Levski Sofia	26	15	6	5	38:17	+21	51	LWLWD
3	CSKA Sofia	26	13	7	6	35:16	+19	46	LDWLD
4	Cherno More Varna	26	12	7	7	30:24	+6	43	WWDDW
5	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	26	10	9	7	35:30	+5	39	LDDWL
6	Dunav Ruse	26	10	8	8	32:31	+1	38	DDDWD
7	Botev Plovdiv	26	10	5	11	36:42	-6	35	WLDWD
8	Beroe Stara Zagora	26	10	5	11	27:28	-1	35	WWWLL
9	Pirin Blagoevgrad	26	10	4	12	30:36	-6	34	WLWLW
10	Vereya Stara Zagora	26	8	6	12	22:36	-14	30	LWLDW
11	Slavia Sofia	26	8	4	14	30:45	-15	28	DWLLL
12	Neftochimic 1962 Burgas	26	7	5	14	27:37	-10	26	LLWWD
13	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	26	5	7	14	22:39	-17	22	WLLLL
14	Montana	26	3	3	20	16:49	-33	12	LLLLW

• Проход дальше - Parva liga (Чемпионшип - плей-офф)(Stat)
• Parva liga (Группа вылета)(Stat)

• The model expects 2.83 goals: 1.57 for CSKA Sofia and 1.27 for Levski Sofia.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 7 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.27, 2nd — 1.57.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	94%	1.06
Over 1.5	80%	67%	77%	1.29
Over 2.5	40%	67%	54%	1.86
Over 3.5	40%	33%	31%	3.18
Over 4.5	20%	0%	16%	6.37

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams CSKA Sofia Levski Sofia

• Unbeaten in 8 matches100%
• 7 wins in a row100%
• Scored in 7 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• 3 clean sheets in a row100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• 3 clean sheets in a row100%
• Over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Scored first in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Won 7 of 7 matches after scoring first100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 8

CSKA Sofiamatches: 5 · 3Levski Sofia

3.0Avg match total2.66

100%5/5Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/5Under 0.50%0/3

80%4/5Over 1.567%2/3

20%1/5Under 1.533%1/3

40%2/5Over 2.567%2/3

60%3/5Under 2.533%1/3

40%2/5Over 3.533%1/3

60%3/5Under 3.567%2/3

20%1/5Over 4.50%0/3

80%4/5Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

CSKA SofiaLevski Sofia

100%5/5Scores first100%3/3

100%5/5…and wins100%3/3

0%0/5…and draws0%0/3

0%0/5…and loses0%0/3

20%1/5…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • CSKA Sofia opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Levski Sofia opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

CSKA Sofia				Levski Sofia
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
4	0	40%	1–15	0%	0	0
2	0	20%	16–30	67%	2	0
0	0	0%	31–45	67%	2	0
2	1	60%	46–60	33%	0	1
1	0	20%	61–75	33%	1	0
5	0	100%	76–90	67%	2	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	67%	2	0
2	0	40%	87–FT	33%	1	0

• • CSKA Sofia scores most in 76–90: 5 of 14 goals (36%).
• • CSKA Sofia concedes most in 46–60: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • CSKA Sofia scores 43% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Levski Sofia scores most in 16–30: 2 of 7 goals (29%).
• • Levski Sofia concedes most in 46–60: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Levski Sofia scores 43% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.67 goals per match on average.