Levski Sofia — CSKA Sofia 2:3: match report and statistics

Tournament

Bulgaria. First League

Season

2017/2018

Attendance

7,900

Referee

Volen Chinkov

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Ludogorets 1945	36	27	7	2	91:22	+69	88	DDDDW
2	CSKA Sofia	36	24	9	3	80:26	+54	81	WWWDL
3	Levski Sofia	36	18	10	8	55:27	+28	64	WLDWW
4	Beroe Stara Zagora	36	16	11	9	45:43	+2	59	LDLWL
5	Botev Plovdiv	36	15	11	10	62:49	+13	56	DWWLW
6	Vereya Stara Zagora	36	10	6	20	27:61	-34	36	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
• Promotion - First League (Europa League - Play-off)

• The model expects 2.88 goals: 1.5 for Levski Sofia and 1.38 for CSKA Sofia.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 2–1 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.75, 2nd — 2.13.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	94%	1.06
Over 1.5	75%	100%	78%	1.28
Over 2.5	50%	50%	55%	1.82
Over 3.5	25%	25%	32%	3.08
Over 4.5	25%	25%	16%	6.09

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia

• Unbeaten in 5 matches100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored over 0.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored first in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Scored over 0.5 in 6 of 8 matches75%
• First-half goal in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 8

Levski Sofiamatches: 4 · 4CSKA Sofia

2.75Avg match total3.0

100%4/4Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/4

75%3/4Over 1.5100%4/4

25%1/4Under 1.50%0/4

50%2/4Over 2.550%2/4

50%2/4Under 2.550%2/4

25%1/4Over 3.525%1/4

75%3/4Under 3.575%3/4

25%1/4Over 4.525%1/4

75%3/4Under 4.575%3/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Levski SofiaCSKA Sofia

25%1/4Scores first75%3/4

100%1/1…and wins33%1/3

0%0/1…and draws33%1/3

0%0/1…and loses33%1/3

0%0/1…and then concedes67%2/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Levski Sofia opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • Levski Sofia avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • CSKA Sofia opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • CSKA Sofia avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Levski Sofia				CSKA Sofia
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	25%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	0%	0	0
1	2	50%	31–45	50%	1	1
1	1	50%	46–60	75%	2	2
1	0	25%	61–75	75%	3	1
3	1	75%	76–90	25%	0	2
1	0	25%	37–HT	25%	1	0
1	0	25%	87–FT	25%	0	1

• • Levski Sofia scores most in 76–90: 3 of 6 goals (50%).
• • Levski Sofia concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Levski Sofia scores 67% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • CSKA Sofia scores most in 61–75: 3 of 6 goals (50%).
• • CSKA Sofia concedes most in 46–60: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • CSKA Sofia scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3 goals per match on average.