Levski Sofia — Slavia Sofia 2:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

Bulgaria. First League

Season

2018/2019

Attendance

8,300

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Ludogorets 1945	26	19	5	2	53:14	+39	62	WWWLD
2	CSKA Sofia	26	18	3	5	47:14	+33	57	WWWLW
3	Levski Sofia	26	17	3	6	51:24	+27	54	WLWWW
4	Botev Plovdiv	26	13	6	7	39:21	+18	45	DDDWD
5	Cherno More Varna	26	12	6	8	36:34	+2	42	DDWWL
6	Beroe Stara Zagora	26	12	6	8	32:23	+9	42	LLLWW
7	Etar	26	12	4	10	30:27	+3	40	WLDWL
8	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	26	10	5	11	32:28	+4	35	WWWLL
9	Slavia Sofia	26	9	6	11	28:31	-3	33	LWLWW
10	Botev Vratsa	26	9	4	13	29:40	-11	31	DWLLL
11	Vitosha Bistritsa	26	7	4	15	17:39	-22	25	LWDDL
12	Septemvri Sofia	26	6	3	17	23:52	-29	21	LLLDW
13	Dunav Ruse	26	5	5	16	25:47	-22	20	DLDLW
14	Vereya Stara Zagora	26	0	6	20	12:60	-48	6	LLLLL

• Promotion - First League (Championship - Play-offs)
• First League (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 3 goals: 2.13 for Levski Sofia and 0.88 for Slavia Sofia.
• Most likely score is 2–0 (11%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1, 2nd — 2.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	75%	100%	80%	1.25
Over 2.5	50%	100%	58%	1.73
Over 3.5	50%	0%	35%	2.83
Over 4.5	25%	0%	18%	5.41

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (1). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Levski Sofia Slavia Sofia

• Won 7 of 7 matches after scoring first100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Unbeaten in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 3.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Won 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored first in 7 of 10 matches70%
• First-half goal in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 2

Levski Sofiamatches: 4 · 1Slavia Sofia

3.0Avg match total3.0

100%4/4Over 0.5100%1/1

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/1

75%3/4Over 1.5100%1/1

25%1/4Under 1.50%0/1

50%2/4Over 2.5100%1/1

50%2/4Under 2.50%0/1

50%2/4Over 3.50%0/1

50%2/4Under 3.5100%1/1

25%1/4Over 4.50%0/1

75%3/4Under 4.5100%1/1

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Levski SofiaSlavia Sofia

75%3/4Scores first0%0/1

100%3/3…and wins—

0%0/3…and draws—

0%0/3…and loses—

33%1/3…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Levski Sofia opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Levski Sofia avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Slavia Sofia opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Slavia Sofia avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Levski Sofia				Slavia Sofia
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	25%	1–15	0%	0	0
2	1	50%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–45	100%	0	1
2	0	50%	46–60	0%	0	0
3	0	50%	61–75	100%	1	0
1	2	50%	76–90	100%	0	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	100%	0	1
1	1	25%	87–FT	100%	0	1

• • Levski Sofia scores most in 61–75: 3 of 9 goals (33%).
• • Levski Sofia concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 3 conceded.
• • Levski Sofia scores 44% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Slavia Sofia scores most in 61–75: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Slavia Sofia concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.17 goals per match on average.