CSKA Sofia — Levski Sofia 1:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

Bulgaria. First League

Season

2012/2013

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Ludogorets 1945	30	22	6	2	58:13	+45	72	WWLWW
2	Levski Sofia	30	22	5	3	59:20	+39	71	DWWWW
3	CSKA Sofia	30	19	6	5	54:20	+34	63	LWWWW
4	Botev Plovdiv	30	18	6	6	51:21	+30	60	WLWWD
5	Litex Lovech	30	15	5	10	56:24	+32	50	DLWLL
6	Chernomorets Burgas	30	14	5	11	32:29	+3	47	DLWWW
7	Beroe Stara Zagora	30	13	6	11	36:38	-2	45	WWLWD
8	Slavia Sofia	30	12	6	12	40:35	+5	42	DWWLL
9	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	30	10	9	11	37:34	+3	39	LLLWD
10	Cherno More Varna	30	9	8	13	33:39	-6	35	DWWLW
11	Pirin Gotse Delchev	30	10	4	16	27:57	-30	34	WLLWL
12	Lokomotiv Sofia	30	7	10	13	27:38	-11	31	WWLLD
13	Botev Vratsa	30	8	7	15	23:51	-28	31	DWLLW
14	Minyor Pernik	30	5	5	20	20:49	-29	20	LLLLL
15	Montana	30	4	4	22	27:57	-30	16	LLWLL
16	Etar	30	4	4	22	20:75	-55	16	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
• Relegation - Division 2

• The model expects 3 goals: 2 for CSKA Sofia and 1 for Levski Sofia.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (10%), followed by 1–1 (10%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 2 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.5, 2nd — 1.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	100%	100%	80%	1.25
Over 2.5	100%	0%	58%	1.73
Over 3.5	100%	0%	35%	2.83
Over 4.5	0%	0%	18%	5.41

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (1), away team away (1). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams CSKA Sofia Levski Sofia

• Unbeaten in 5 matches100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Scored first in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Scored over 0.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 4 of 5 matches80%
• First-half goal in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 5, away team — 5

CSKA Sofiamatches: 1 · 1Levski Sofia

4.0Avg match total2.0

100%1/1Over 0.5100%1/1

0%0/1Under 0.50%0/1

100%1/1Over 1.5100%1/1

0%0/1Under 1.50%0/1

100%1/1Over 2.50%0/1

0%0/1Under 2.5100%1/1

100%1/1Over 3.50%0/1

0%0/1Under 3.5100%1/1

0%0/1Over 4.50%0/1

100%1/1Under 4.5100%1/1

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

CSKA SofiaLevski Sofia

0%0/1Scores first100%1/1

—…and wins0%0/1

—…and draws100%1/1

—…and loses0%0/1

—…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • CSKA Sofia opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • CSKA Sofia avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Levski Sofia opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

CSKA Sofia				Levski Sofia
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	1	100%	16–30	0%	0	0
1	0	100%	31–45	100%	1	0
1	0	100%	46–60	0%	0	0
1	0	100%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	76–90	100%	0	1
1	0	100%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	100%	0	1

• • CSKA Sofia scores most in 31–45: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • CSKA Sofia concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Levski Sofia scores most in 31–45: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Levski Sofia concedes most in 76–90: 1 of 1 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.33 goals per match on average.