Levski Sofia — CSKA Sofia 0:3: match report and statistics

Tournament

Bulgaria. First League

Season

2016/2017

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Ludogorets 1945	36	25	8	3	87:28	+59	83	LWDWD
2	CSKA Sofia	36	19	10	7	51:21	+30	67	LWDDW
3	Levski Sofia	36	18	9	9	50:31	+19	63	DLWLL
4	Dunav Ruse	36	15	10	11	46:44	+2	55	WWLWD
5	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	36	14	10	12	50:52	-2	52	WLWDW
6	Cherno More Varna	36	13	8	15	39:45	-6	47	DLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Проход дальше - Parva liga (Лига Европы - плей-офф: Финал)(Stat)
• Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)

• The model expects 3.25 goals: 2 for Levski Sofia and 1.25 for CSKA Sofia.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (10%), followed by 2–1 (10%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2, 2nd — 1.25.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	100%	100%	84%	1.20
Over 2.5	50%	100%	63%	1.59
Over 3.5	50%	0%	41%	2.45
Over 4.5	50%	0%	23%	4.38

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (1). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia

• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%

Based on recent matches: home team — 3, away team — 3

Levski Sofiamatches: 2 · 1CSKA Sofia

3.5Avg match total3.0

100%2/2Over 0.5100%1/1

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/1

100%2/2Over 1.5100%1/1

0%0/2Under 1.50%0/1

50%1/2Over 2.5100%1/1

50%1/2Under 2.50%0/1

50%1/2Over 3.50%0/1

50%1/2Under 3.5100%1/1

50%1/2Over 4.50%0/1

50%1/2Under 4.5100%1/1

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Levski SofiaCSKA Sofia

100%2/2Scores first100%1/1

50%1/2…and wins100%1/1

50%1/2…and draws0%0/1

0%0/2…and loses0%0/1

50%1/2…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Levski Sofia opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • CSKA Sofia opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Levski Sofia				CSKA Sofia
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	100%	1–15	100%	1	0
0	0	0%	16–30	0%	0	0
2	0	50%	31–45	100%	0	1
1	0	50%	46–60	0%	0	0
1	1	100%	61–75	100%	1	0
0	0	0%	76–90	0%	0	0
1	0	50%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Levski Sofia scores most in 1–15: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
• • Levski Sofia concedes most in 61–75: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Levski Sofia scores 17% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • CSKA Sofia scores most in 1–15: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • CSKA Sofia concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 1 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3 goals per match on average.